Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Khonkaen United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.81	3.75	4.23
	1.78	3.65	3.97	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.8	3.65	4.17	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.75)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	3.9 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
50.7%

Draw
25.7%

Khonkaen United
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

21.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Khonkaen United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Ratchasima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khonkaen United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nakhon Ratchasima - Khonkaen United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Noorach T. (G) 19. Romphopak S. 6. Jong-Cheon L. 37. Sayriya N. (C) 92. Paibulkijcharoen T. 7. Houla G. 8. Jiraphaksiri W. 21. Jaroenbut N. 9. Daniels K. 10. Deyvison 23. Dennis Murillo	1. Wangthaphan C. (G) 27. Chiakklang C. 51. Suganuma S. (C) 4. Asurin T. 17. Hansuri P. 6. Ngernprasert P. 18. Phonkam N. 77. Wokiang P. 19. Karaboue L. 11. Langil S. 5. Diego Landis
Substitutes
29. Ansell N. 30. Biesamrit N. 56. dos Santos Lima C. E. 32. Kaosaart T. 17. Khamphaeng P. 4. Kunmee S. 22. Mungdee A. 25. Nuanngwongsa N. (G) 5. Nuengprakaew W. 24. Perm P. 33. Plodkeaw T. 16. Sanjairag A.	10. Butsombat T. 7. Choti C. 28. Homsan W. 24. Inthawong K. 43. Jitvijan S. 15. Junsuwan P. 99. Makthuam N. (G) 14. Mungkhun W. 9. Palapon J. 35. Phonsa P. 23. Sosungnoen A. 22. Taichankong J.
Coaches
Po-On T.	Robroo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Dennis Murillo (Pen),
26', Deyvison 🟨,
42', Jiraphaksiri W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Langil S. (Pen),
61', 2 - 1, Jaroenbut N. ⚽,
65', Chiakklang C. ↓, Taichankong J. ↑,
65', Diego Landis ↓, Butsombat T. ↑,
67', Jiraphaksiri W. ↓, Biesamrit N. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Daniels K. ⚽, Sayriya N. (A),
77', Wokiang P. ↓, Palapon J. ↑,
78', Langil S. ↓, Junsuwan P. ↑,
81', Jaroenbut N. ↓, Kaosaart T. ↑,
81', Deyvison ↓, dos Santos Lima C. E. ↑,
84', Taichankong J. 🟨,
86', Karaboue L. ↓, Choti C. ↑,
90+2', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
90+4', Daniels K. ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
90+5', Houla G. 🟨,
90+8', Biesamrit N. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Khonkaen United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakhon Ratchasima is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
01.03.25	Thai Port - Nakhon Ratchasima	4:2 ✺
21.02.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Ratchaburi	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Bangkok United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTTL
- Khonkaen United
Thai League 1
02.03.25	Khonkaen United - Lamphun Warriors	0:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Thai Port - Khonkaen United	3:2 ✺
Thai League 1
22.02.25	Uthai Thani - Khonkaen United	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Khonkaen United	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Khonkaen United - Prachuap	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
26.10.24	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:0
26.02.23	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Ratchasima	3:2
01.10.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Khonkaen United	1:0
12.02.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Khonkaen United	1:2
06.10.21	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1

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