Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.45	3.33
	2.13	3.31	3.17	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.22	3.34	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.15)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
42.9%

Draw
28.2%

Sukhothai
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nakhon Ratchasima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Lakhonphon N. (G) 19. Bangsungnoen R. 43. Lalic N. 45. Jaiphet A. 2. Inpaen S. 35. Wendel 22. Hanrattana P. 14. Mita H. 4. James L. 23. Dennis Murillo 21. Jaroenbut N. (C)	99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 25. Otton C. 5. Romeu 95. Barreto 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S.
Substitutes
5. Becerra J. 33. Charalampous C. 6. Gallagher J. 36. Noorach T. (G) 39. Nuengprakaew W. 30. Prempree P. 7. Win Hein Phyo	8. Aranpiroj R. 21. Denman A. 11. Gildo 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 70. Mateusinho 9. Paredes J. 19. Phatthaphon P. 28. Samerjai T. (G) 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.
Coaches
Kongthep S.	Thong-Am E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Jaroenbut N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barreto ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
56', Jaroenbut N. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
63', Lalic N. 🟨,
72', Kanlayanabandit S. ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
74', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
76', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
79', Jaiphet A. ↓, Charalampous C. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, James L. ⚽, Mita H. (A),
90', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Thiamrat L. ↑,
90', Thumporn T. ↓, Suksakit P. ↑,
90+3', Win Hein Phyo 🟨,
90+6', James L. 🟨,
90+7', Lakhonphon N. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.

Recent performances by Nakhon Ratchasima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sukhothai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of away games.

Nakhon Ratchasima could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.7:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
25.04.26	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Uthai Thani	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ayutthaya United - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLWTW
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
24.04.26	Sukhothai - Ratchaburi	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chiangrai United - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bangkok United - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Chonburi - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
13.12.25	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1
21.02.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	2:2
05.10.24	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0
10.03.23	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:3
14.10.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	1:1
21.02.21	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:0
27.09.20	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	3:3

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