Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3.4	2.15
	3.31	3.62	2.12
	3.01	3.64	2.11	Watch
	2.92	3.86	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.32)	3.63 ↑ (3.56)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
30.8%

Draw
25.6%

Muangthong United
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.2%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Nakhon Ratchasima (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Noorach T. (G) 16. Lemdee B. 45. Jaiphet A. 43. Lalic N. 35. Wendel 5. Paso S. 8. Martinez Viti 27. Phimpsang C. 14. Mita H. (C) 10. Brandao 11. Darbellay D.	1. Gremsl A. (G) 19. Do T. (C) 4. Tsonkov S. 27. Kempter M. 15. Sattham J. 8. Tasa K. 6. Strauss J. 14. Panthong S. 21. Thodsanit P. 34. Khamyok K. 18. Dunnwald-Turan K.
Substitutes
9. Athisaraworameth T. 19. Bangsungnoen R. 23. Dennis Murillo 22. Hanrattana P. 24. Hanrattana P. 21. Jaroenbut N. 37. Jeenthai P. 13. Kaewklang N. 18. Lakhonphon N. (G) 3. Mamadou B. 17. Mungdee A. 29. Sanmahung J.	24. Ahannach A. 28. Bua-ngnam A. 13. Falconer J. P. 26. Kadee K. (G) 29. Kraikruan S. 22. Nuntagowat T. 23. Phosri S. 33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 39. Seangsawat K. 17. Thodsanid P. 40. Wettayawong K. 20. Yoosuebchuea S.
Coaches
Sritaro I.	Viwatchaichok R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Panthong S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Phimpsang C. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
46', Paso S. ↓, Bangsungnoen R. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Dunnwald-Turan K. ⚽, Thodsanit P. (A),
61', Thodsanit P. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
63', Lemdee B. ↓, Mamadou B. ↑,
66', Brandao ↓, Dennis Murillo ↑,
67', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
68', Sattham J. ↓, Kraikruan S. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Dennis Murillo (Pen),
82', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
83', Darbellay D. ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
83', Bangsungnoen R. 🟨,
87', Tasa K. ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
90', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
90+5', Ahannach A. 🟨,
90+9', Strauss J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Muangthong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
20.09.25	Lamphun Warriors - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Kanchanaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Ratchaburi	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Rayong FC - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTLWT
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
21.09.25	Muangthong United - Ratchaburi	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Rayong FC - Muangthong United	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Muangthong United - Kanchanaburi	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ayutthaya United - Muangthong United	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Muangthong United - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
27.04.25	Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0
11.08.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United	2:1
28.01.23	Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima	3:0
28.08.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United	1:1
01.05.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United	2:0
27.11.21	Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima	4:1
09.03.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United	4:1

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