Match Info

Thai FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Ayutthaya United		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.10	6.50
	1.54	3.80	4.90
	1.4	4.14	6.5
	1.41	4.25	6.8	Watch
	1.34	4.05	6.35
	1.37	4.15	7.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.75)	4.08 ↑ (3.56)	6.38 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayutthaya United
63.8%

Draw
22.1%

Muangthong United
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayutthaya United's performance.

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muangthong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayutthaya United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ayutthaya United - Muangthong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 🟥,
54', 1 - 0, Caique Lemes (Penalty Awarded),
69', 2 - 0, Caique Lemes ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Rivaldinho ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

In recent outings, Ayutthaya United has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Muangthong United is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Muangthong United may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ayutthaya United holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ayutthaya United has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ayutthaya United against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
16.10.26	Ayutthaya United - Lamphun Warriors	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Pathum United - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Ayutthaya United - Uthai Thani	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sisaket United - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTLWW
- Muangthong United
Thai League 2
18.10.26	Mahasarakham - Muangthong United	0:0 ✺
13.10.26	Muangthong United - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Muangthong United - Chiangmai United	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	PT Satun - Muangthong United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
11.01.26	Muangthong United - Ayutthaya United	0:1
23.08.25	Ayutthaya United - Muangthong United	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
01.11.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	✺
- Muangthong United
Thai League 2
31.10.26	Muang Loei United - Muangthong United	✺

Ayutthaya United - Muangthong United