Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 19

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium (Nakhon Si Thammarat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Si United		Pattaya United

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.25	2.12	Watch
	3.13	3.42	2.08	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	2.92	3.24	2.22
	3.33	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.43)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.1 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Si United
29.6%

Draw
27.5%

Pattaya United
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Si United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nakhon Si United's form might have worsened.

Pattaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pattaya United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nakhon Si United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pattaya United than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pattaya United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nakhon Si United - Pattaya United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Ruiz-Diaz D. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)

Nakhon Si has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pattaya United has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Si won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Si won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pattaya United	4	1	1	2	1:6	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Pattaya United - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Si United
Thai League 2
09.01.26	Police Tero - Nakhon Si United	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Nakhon Si United - Songkhla	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Nakhon Si United - Bangkok FC	0:4 ✺
02.12.25	Chanthaburi - Nakhon Si United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLW
- Pattaya United
Thai League 2
11.01.26	Pattaya United - Chanthaburi	2:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Pattaya United - Bangkok United	0:3 ✺
Thai League 2
14.12.25	Sisaket United - Pattaya United	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Pattaya United - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Kasetsart - Pattaya United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
28.08.25	Pattaya United - Nakhon Si United	2:0
08.02.25	Pattaya United - Nakhon Si United	0:1
27.09.24	Nakhon Si United - Pattaya United	3:2
18.02.24	Pattaya United - Nakhon Si United	0:0
22.10.23	Nakhon Si United - Pattaya United	1:1

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