Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium (Nakhon Si Thammarat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Si United		Chainat

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.82
	4.24	3.47	1.8
	2.91	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.83	3.73	1.81	Watch
	4.33	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	1.87 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Si United
24.1%

Draw
26.6%

Chainat
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Si United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nakhon Si United's form might have worsened.

Chainat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chainat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nakhon Si United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chainat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nakhon Si United - Chainat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Bu-nga N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Si won 1.

Recent form of Nakhon Si has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chainat is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nakhon Si may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nakhon Si has had a series of away games.

Chainat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Si won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Si won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Si United
Thai League 2
22.11.25	Sisaket United - Nakhon Si United	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Mahasarakham - Nakhon Si United	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chiangmai United - Nakhon Si United	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Kasetsart - Nakhon Si United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
09.11.25	Chanthaburi - Chainat	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Chainat - Sisaket United	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Chainat - Bangkok FC	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mahasarakham - Chainat	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Chainat - Phrae United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
29.03.25	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	0:1
30.11.24	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	1:0
07.02.24	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	0:0
29.09.23	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	2:0
05.02.23	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	1:0
17.09.22	Nakhon Si United - Chainat	2:0

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