Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 12

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium (Nakhon Si Thammarat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Si United		Phrae United

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.5	1.95
	3.09	3.73	1.91
	2.52	3.61	2.38	Watch
	3.21	3.54	1.97
	2.7	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.49)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	2.12 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Si United
31.2%

Draw
25.6%

Phrae United
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Si United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Phrae United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phrae United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nakhon Si United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phrae United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nakhon Si United - Phrae United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Phrae (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Phrae (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, Bruckner B. D. ⚽,
76', 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Sangwong S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Si won 3.

Nakhon Si is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Phrae has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Nakhon Si has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Si won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Si won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 4.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Si United
Thai League 2
02.11.25	Mahasarakham - Nakhon Si United	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chiangmai United - Nakhon Si United	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Kasetsart - Nakhon Si United	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Nakhon Si United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Si United	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW
- Phrae United
Thai League 2
01.11.25	Phrae United - Chanthaburi	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sisaket United - Phrae United	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Phrae United - Bangkok FC	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Chainat - Phrae United	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Phrae United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai FA Cup
09.04.25	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	2:1
Thai League 2
12.02.25	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	4:1
06.10.24	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	3:0
10.03.24	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	1:2
12.11.23	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	5:0
15.03.23	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	1:1
06.11.22	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	5:2

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