Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium (Nakhon Si Thammarat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Si United		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
	2.71	3.3	2.37
	3.72	3.46	1.89	Watch
	2.52	3.36	2.45
	2.42	3.5	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.33)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Si United
32.7%

Draw
27.3%

Nongbua Pitchaya
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Si United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nakhon Si United's form might have worsened.

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nakhon Si United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-5%)

Nakhon Si United - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nongbua Pitchaya (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nongbua Pitchaya (1.75) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nongbua Pitchaya (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Songma J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Nathanakool T. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Capistrano J. (Pen),
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent form of Nakhon Si has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nongbua Pitchaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nongbua Pitchaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakhon Si won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Nakhon Si won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Si United
Thai League 2
28.09.25	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Si United	4:5 ✺
21.09.25	Nakhon Si United - Rasisalai United	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Trat - Nakhon Si United	6:0 ✺
31.08.25	Nakhon Si United - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
28.08.25	Pattaya United - Nakhon Si United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTL
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 2
27.09.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Phrae United	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Chainat - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Bangkok FC	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Chanthaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:0 ✺
26.08.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Mahasarakham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
12.08.23	Nakhon Si United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1

Nakhon Si United - Nongbua Pitchaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide