The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nam Định 67.7%
Draw 20%
Binh Duong 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.2%
18.2%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.2%
16.8%
10.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nam Định has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Binh Duong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nam Định than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nam Định, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binh Duong than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Nam Định - Binh Duong Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Tran Nguyen Manh (C) 6. A Mit 35. Brenner 3. Duong Thanh Hao 88. Ly Cong Hoang Anh 32. Ngo D. H. 7. Nguyen Phong Hong Duy 72. Romulo 22. Tau P. 19. Tran Van Dat 13. Tran V. K.
25. Tran Minh Toan (G) 6. Alves H. 17. Minh Trong Vo 2. Ngo Tung Quoc (C) 28. Nguyen Van Anh 94. Oduenyi U. 8. Phan Thanh Hau 21. Tran Dinh Khuong 12. Tran Hoang Hung 10. Vo Hoang Minh Khoa 24. Zlatkovic M.
Substitutes
5. Dang Van Toi 39. Lam Ti Phong 4. Lucas 8. Nguyen D. S. 17. Nguyen Van Vi 28. To Van Vu 82. Tran L. D. (G) 27. Tran N. S. 16. Tran Van Cong
18. Ho Tuan Tai 99. Ismaila O. 39. Kizito G. 9. Le Minh Binh 33. Nguyen Thanh Kien 7. Nguyen Tran Viet Cuong 30. Nguyen Van Cong (G) 1. Nhat Ha T. (G) 5. Schmidt A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Nguyen Phong Hong Duy ↓, Nguyen Van Vi ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Vo Hoang Minh Khoa ⚽,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ngo D. H. ↓, Dang Van Toi ↑,
46', Tran Van Dat ↓, Lam Ti Phong ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Oduenyi U. (Pen),
57', 1 - 2, Romulo ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 4.
Nam Định has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Binh Duong is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Nam Định is the clear favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nam Định won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).