Match Info

V.League 1 - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Thiên Trường Stadium (Nam Định)

Where to Watch on TV:


Vietnam	FPT Play, TV 360


	Nam Định		Cong An Ha Noi

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.81	2.15
	3.29	3.37	2.11	Watch
	3.05	3.66	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.74)	3.61 ↑ (3.52)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nam Định
30.2%

Draw
25.9%

Cong An Ha Noi
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nam Định has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Cong An Ha Noi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nam Định than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cong An Ha Noi than the current prediction. (-3%)

Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Tran Nguyen Manh (C) 35. Brenner 10. Caio Cesar 5. Dang Van Toi 39. Lam Ti Phong 4. Lucas 88. Ly Cong Hoang Anh 7. Nguyen Phong Hong Duy 17. Nguyen Van Vi 28. To Van Vu 19. Tran Van Dat	1. Nguyen F. (G) 72. Alan Grafite 98. Giap Tuan Duong 10. Leo Artur 11. Le Pham Thanh Long 88. Le Van Do 6. Mauk S. 9. Nguyen Dinh Bac 19. Nguyen Quang Hai (C) 7. Pendant J. 21. Tran Dinh Trong
Substitutes
6. A Mit 32. Ngo D. H. 8. Nguyen D. S. 93. Pham Ba K. 22. Tau P. 82. Tran L. D. (G) 27. Tran N. S. 16. Tran Van Cong 13. Tran V. K.	15. Bui Xuan Thinh 3. Hugo Gomes 28. Nguyen Van Duc 2. Pham Ly Duc 22. Pham Minh Phuc 20. Phan Van Duc 55. Tran Duc Nam 23. Vu Thanh Vinh (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Ly Cong Hoang Anh ↓, A Mit ↑,
26', Nguyen Van Vi 🟨,
29', A Mit 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Leo Artur ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tran Van Dat ↓, Tran Van Cong ↑,
46', Nguyen Phong Hong Duy ↓, Pham Ba K. ↑,
46', Caio Cesar ↓, Tau P. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Alan Grafite ⚽,
76', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 1.

Nam Định is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cong An is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cong An may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cong An could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nam Định won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nam Định FC
ASEAN Club Championship
25.09.25	Nam Định - Svay Rieng	2:1 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
22.09.25	Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Nam Định	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Nam Định - Ratchaburi	3:1 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
13.09.25	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Nam Định	0:0 ✺
27.08.25	Nam Định - PVF-CAND	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTW
- Cong An Ha Noi FC
ASEAN Club Championship
24.09.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Cebu FC	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.09.25	Beijing Guoan - Cong An Ha Noi	2:2 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
13.09.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Hai Phong	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Hà Nội FC	4:2 ✺
24.08.25	Binh Duong - Cong An Ha Noi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese Super Cup
09.08.25	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	2:3
Vietnamese V League 1
08.03.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Nam Định	1:1
28.10.24	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	0:3
04.05.24	Cong An Ha Noi - Nam Định	2:3
Club Friendly
06.02.24	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	3:4
Vietnamese V League 1
09.12.23	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	2:2
02.08.23	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	1:2

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