Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Serbia	SportKlub 8
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Beijing Guoan		Cong An Ha Noi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.65	2.52
	2.29	3.6	2.63
	2.46	3.84	2.45	Watch
	2.19	3.77	2.83	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.85)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	2.8 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
41.7%

Draw
25.1%

Cong An Ha Noi
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

24%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Guoan's form might have worsened.

Cong An Ha Noi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cong An Ha Noi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cong An Ha Noi than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cong An Ha Noi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Beijing Guoan - Cong An Ha Noi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Beijing Guoan (3.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Beijing Guoan (1.47) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beijing Guoan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 9 - 90%). Cong An (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Abbas Nureli (C) 3. He Yupeng 5. Ngadeu M. 16. Feng Boxuan 21. Zhang Yuan 17. Yang Liyu 6. Chi Zhongguo 19. Muhmet N. 30. Fan Shuangjie 20. Wang Ziming 10. Zhang Xizhe	1. Nguyen F. (G) 68. Bui Hoang Viet Anh 3. Hugo Gomes 6. Mauk S. 38. Leygley A. 7. Pendant J. 10. Leo Artur 8. Vitao 88. Le Van Do 11. Le Pham Thanh Long 9. Nguyen Dinh Bac
Substitutes
26. Bai Yang 37. Cao Yongjing 18. Fang Hao 35. Jiang Wenhao 4. Li Lei 11. Lin Liangming 28. Li Ruiyue 7. Serginho 25. Tuluo Z. (G) 63. Wei J. 2. Wu Shaocong 9. Zhang Yuning	72. Alan Grafite 15. Bui Xuan Thinh 30. China 26. Ha Van Phuong 12. Hoang Van Toan 28. Nguyen Van Duc 2. Pham Ly Duc 22. Pham Minh Phuc 20. Phan Van Duc 25. Tran Dinh M. H. (G) 21. Tran Dinh Trong 55. Tran Duc Nam
Coaches
Setien Q.	Polking A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Vitao ⚽, Leo Artur (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Chi Zhongguo ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),
60', Yang Liyu ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
61', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Wei J. ↑,
61', Ngadeu M. ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
64', Nguyen Dinh Bac ↓, China ↑,
64', Leygley A. ↓, Alan Grafite ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Zhang Yuan ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, China ⚽, Vitao (A),
76', Muhmet N. ↓, Jiang Wenhao ↑,
76', Feng Boxuan ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
82', Pendant J. 🟨,
82', Wu Shaocong 🟨,
86', Wang Ziming 🟨,
86', Mauk S. 🟨,
90+2', Mauk S. ↓, Phan Van Duc ↑,
90+7', Bui Hoang Viet Anh ↓, Tran Dinh Trong ↑,

Preview

Beijing Guoan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cong An is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
12.09.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Shandong Taishan - Beijing Guoan	6:0 ✺
25.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	7:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
16.08.25	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Cong An Ha Noi FC
Vietnamese V League 1
13.09.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Hai Phong	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Hà Nội FC	4:2 ✺
24.08.25	Binh Duong - Cong An Ha Noi	0:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
20.08.25	Pathum United - Cong An Ha Noi	2:1 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
15.08.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Viettel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLT

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