Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 21

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Majaliwa Stadium (Lindi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Namungo		Mashujaa

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.82	4.75
	2.02	2.73	3.78
	2.14	2.69	4.03	Watch
	2.05	2.63	3.8
	1.87	2.76	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	4.25 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Namungo
45.6%

Draw
33.1%

Mashujaa
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

33.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

33.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Namungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mashujaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashujaa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Namungo - Mashujaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Suleiman A. (G) 60. Kazi H. 50. Kiswanya A. 26. Luzendaze G. 14. Machela J. 7. Manyanya H. 24. Masawe J. (C) 20. Mgunya H. 29. Ngoye F. 6. Rogers G. 12. Swalehe H.	18. Johola E. (G) 67. Bwenzi S. 10. Lyanga D. 27. Madeleke S. 13. Mgandila S. 66. Mgunda I. 22. Mhagama C. 7. Mohamed A. 20. Mwakinyuke M. 4. Onditi S. 25. Salum M.
Substitutes
2. Ahmed A. 3. Buswita P. 17. Kabunda H. 8. Kikoti L. 10. Kipenye C. 19. Makambo H. 43. Malik M. (G) 5. Mfuko A. 53. Rajabu K.	12. Abdallah S. 37. Bakari A. 11. Balama M. 14. Haji H. 9. Juma H. 6. Mtuwi B. 21. Shaban N. 17. Vuai M. 33. Yusuph K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Manyanya H. ↓, Kipenye C. ↑,
43', Onditi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lyanga D. ↓, Vuai M. ↑,
63', Swalehe H. 🟨,
69', Bwenzi S. ↓, Shaban N. ↑,
69', Mgunda I. ↓, Balama M. ↑,
71', Kiswanya A. ↓, Kikoti L. ↑,
71', Ngoye F. ↓, Makambo H. ↑,
88', Masawe J. 🟨,
89', Masawe J. ↓, Kabunda H. ↑,
90+2', Mhagama C. ↓, Abdallah S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mashujaa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mashujaa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Namungo is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Namungo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
05.05.26	Azam - Namungo	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Dodoma Jiji - Namungo	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Namungo - Simba	3:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Namungo - TRA United	0:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
04.04.26	Namungo - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWLT
- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
04.05.26	Mashujaa - TRA United	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mbeya City - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
16.04.26	Mashujaa - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mashujaa - Pamba	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Mashujaa - Azam	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
25.10.25	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0
20.04.25	Namungo - Mashujaa	2:1
23.11.24	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0
02.03.24	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0

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