The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli 53.4%
Draw 24.6%
Sassuolo 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
27.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
26.4%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Napoli - Sassuolo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beretta B. (G) 44. Pettenuzzo T. 16. Jusjong M. 32. Vergani B. 67. Giordano M. 8. Kozak K. 23. Bellucci M. (C) 90. Langella G. 14. Faurskov L. 11. Floe C. 10. Banusic M.
1. Benz N. (G) 8. Brustia M. 5. Caiazzo S. 24. De Rita A. 2. Philtjens D. 12. Missipo K. 80. Guerzoni G. 28. Andersone A. 90. Ndjoah Eto N. 6. Doms M. 26. Clelland L. (C)
Substitutes
7. Barker H. M. 17. Carcassi A. 24. D'Angelo A. 26. D'Angelo O. 27. Kainulainen E. 12. Kjolholdt S. 77. Musumeci V. 19. Sciabica M. 21. Thisgaard F. (G) 20. Troan M. 5. Veletanlic E.
13. Dhont E. 16. Durand S. (G) 4. Fercocq H. 19. Galabadaarachchi J. 14. Hagemann M. 3. Mella S. 30. Perselli M. 46. Rossi A. 9. Sabatino D. 7. Skupien K. 99. Stanic P. 25. Venturelli C.
Coaches
Sassarini D.
Spugna A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, De Rita A. ⚽, Clelland L. (A),
38', De Rita A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Faurskov L. ↓, Kainulainen E. ↑,
63', Kozak K. 🟨,
66', Pettenuzzo T. ↓, Carcassi A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Floe C. ⚽, Banusic M. (A),
81', Guerzoni G. ↓, Fercocq H. ↑,
81', Andersone A. ↓, Skupien K. ↑,
88', Ndjoah Eto N. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
88', Clelland L. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
90+1', Giordano M. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Sassuolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).