The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ternana 37.8%
Draw 26.4%
Sassuolo 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
28.3%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
27.3%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Ternana - Sassuolo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Schroffenegger K. (G) 29. Martins C. 4. Pacioni E. (C) 24. Massimino M. 5. Peruzzo L. 23. Regazzoli A. 3. Breitner S. 27. Di Giammarino V. 11. Pirone V. 16. Ciccotti C. 20. Pellegrino C. G.
1. Benz N. (G) 25. Venturelli C. 5. Caiazzo S. 3. Mella S. 7. Skupien K. 12. Missipo K. 6. Doms M. 2. Philtjens D. (C) 90. Ndjoah Eto N. 4. Fercocq H. 13. Dhont E.
Substitutes
12. Ciccioli G. (G) 6. Corrado H. 22. Erzen K. 13. Ghioc K. (G) 7. Gomes A. 17. Labate C. 10. Lazaro P. 8. Pastrenge L. 21. Petrara M. 14. Porcarelli M. 55. Ripamonti C. 18. Vigliucci C.
15. Brignoli B. 8. Brustia M. 17. Chaib L. 78. De Bona F. (G) 16. Durand S. (G) 10. Filis M. 19. Galabadaarachchi J. 14. Hagemann M. 21. Nash J. J. 30. Perselli M. 46. Rossi A. 9. Sabatino D.
Coaches
Ardizzone M.
Colantuono S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Breitner S. 🟨,
13', Martins C. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Missipo K. ⚽, Fercocq H. (A),
21', Venturelli C. 🟨,
35', Philtjens D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Pirone V. ⚽,
39', Doms M. 🟨,
42', Ciccotti C. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
45+4', Skupien K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Venturelli C. ↓, Nash J. J. ↑,
61', Breitner S. ↓, Petrara M. ↑,
61', Di Giammarino V. ↓, Pastrenge L. ↑,
81', Dhont E. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
90', Martins C. ↓, Ripamonti C. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 10)
Recent performances by Ternana have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sassuolo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).