Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Napoli U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.55	1.75
	3.76	3.78	1.86
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.67	3.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.32)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli U20
24.7%

Draw
24.5%

Fiorentina U20
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

26.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli U20 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Napoli U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spinelli D. (G) 30. Camelio U. 33. Caucci A. 4. Cimmaruta A. 2. Colella R. 8. De Chiara E. 5. Gambardella V. 6. Garofalo C. 36. Lo Scalzo L. 9. Raggioli C. 11. Smeraldi A.	22. Leonardelli P. (G) 7. Bertolini G. 9. Braschi R. 31. Conti G. 8. Deli L. 33. Evangelista C. 28. Mazzeo B. 47. Montenegro L. 5. Sadotti E. 19. Trapani N. 6. Turnone N.
Substitutes
60. Barido F. . D'Angelo G. 3. De Luca A. 77. De Martino S. 44. Eletto F. 70. Genovese M. 45. Gorica K. 7. Nardozi M. . Olivieri A. 16. Prisco V. . Pugliese C. (G)	21. Angiolini G. 24. Batignani F. . Bilobrk A. 4. Bonanno P. 30. Fei G. (G) 18. Jallow S. 14. Kone M. 11. Maiorana S. 3. Masoni T. 10. Puzzoli G. 72. Sturli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, De Chiara E. ⚽,
32', Colella R. 🟨,
45', De Chiara E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Raggioli C. ⚽,
51', Turnone N. 🟨,
52', 3 - 0, Camelio U. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Camelio U. 🟨,
56', Evangelista C. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
56', Deli L. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
56', Mazzeo B. ↓, Angiolini G. ↑,
58', Camelio U. 🟨,
60', Colella R. ↓, Eletto F. ↑,
65', Turnone N. ↓, Puzzoli G. ↑,
67', Conti G. 🟨,
74', Conti G. ↓, Bonanno P. ↑,
76', Lo Scalzo L. ↓, Genovese M. ↑,
76', Raggioli C. ↓, Gorica K. ↑,
84', Smeraldi A. ↓, De Luca A. ↑,
90+2', Genovese M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Genovese M. (Own goal),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Napoli U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fiorentina U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli U20
Italian Primavera 1
29.11.25	Parma U20 - Napoli U20	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Napoli U20 - Frosinone U20	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Atalanta U20 - Napoli U20	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Napoli U20 - Juventus U20	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
28.10.25	Napoli U20 - Renate U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLWWW
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
01.12.25	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Frosinone U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Fiorentina U20 - Atalanta U20	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Bologna U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTW

Napoli U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide