Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Kruševac)

Referee: Segrt J. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1


	Napredak Kruševac		OFK Beograd

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.7	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.87
	4.25	3.45	1.75
	4.88	3.72	1.74
	4.64	3.62	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.78	3.44	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.52)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	1.74 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
20.7%

Draw
26.3%

OFK Beograd
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.

OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OFK Beograd's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. OFK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - Napredak (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: OFK Beograd will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Napredak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). OFK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Balevic L. (G) 24. Ignjatovic U. 5. Bukorac S. 70. Miladinovic L. 7. Vukajlovic N. 15. Lutovac A. 10. Vulic M. (C) 4. Krstic F. 33. Bogdanovski N. 17. Sremcevic U. 11. Majdevac A.	1. Popovic B. (C) 4. Pavlovic A. 77. Gobeljic M. 45. Vukicevic A. 33. Rodic M. 24. Stojanovic U. 8. Cvetkovic A. 14. Momcilovic M. 20. Sljivic J. 42. Silue D. Y. 9. Hoard E.
Substitutes
12. Bastajic N. 23. Bojat D. 9. Bubanj M. 31. Ilic J. 14. Laban L. 99. Mihajlovic P. 6. Ristic S. 1. Savic V. (G) 18. Stevanovic N. 91. Tasovski V. 22. Toseski M.	3. Addo E. 2. Despotovski S. 26. Fall M. 5. Gojkovic D. 88. Halabrin F. 17. Kabic U. 21. Lazic U. 10. Markovic S. 27. Pantovic M. 97. Stojisic N. (G) 7. Wouter T.
Coaches
Ristic Z.	Damjanovic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Silue D. Y. ⚽, Cvetkovic A. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Cvetkovic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Bastajic N. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Lutovac A. ⚽,
61', Sremcevic U. ↓, Tasovski V. ↑,
63', Hoard E. ↓, Addo E. ↑,
66', Krstic F. 🟨,
75', Majdevac A. ↓, Ilic J. ↑,
75', Krstic F. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Lutovac A. ⚽, Ignjatovic U. (A),
80', Sljivic J. ↓, Kabic U. ↑,
89', Momcilovic M. ↓, Halabrin F. ↑,
89', Gobeljic M. ↓, Wouter T. ↑,
90+2', Stojanovic U. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.

Napredak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

OFK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Napredak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, OFK is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet	10	2	3	5	13:21	-8	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
08.03.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Napredak Kruševac - Spartak Subotica	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	2:4 ✺
08.02.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Napredak Kruševac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga
09.03.26	OFK Beograd - Radnički 1923	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Partizan - OFK Beograd	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	OFK Beograd - Železničar Pančevo	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	OFK Beograd - Čukarički	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
18.10.25	OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac	4:0
09.02.25	OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac	0:2
31.08.24	Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd	1:3
08.03.15	OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
23.08.14	Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd	2:4
10.05.14	OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac	2:1
23.11.13	Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd	3:0

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