Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Kruševac)

Referee: Markovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 5


	Napredak Kruševac		Radnički Niš

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.42	Watch
	6.1	4.05	1.47	Watch
	7.96	4.6	1.41
	7.86	4.97	1.36	Watch
	7	4	1.36
	4.33	3.55	1.74	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.31 ↑ (5.4)	4.11 ↑ (3.7)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
14.7%

Draw
22.6%

Radnički Niš
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

25%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

19.8%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnički Niš, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš Predictions

Users Predictions: Radnički Niš will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Balevic L. (G) 24. Ignjatovic U. 6. Ristic S. 5. Bukorac S. 95. Miletic V. 31. Ilic J. 10. Vulic M. 22. Toseski M. 91. Tasovski V. 12. Bastajic N. (C) 11. Majdevac A.	94. Stanivukovic D. (G) 2. Mijailovic M. 15. Pavlovic D. 4. Vitas U. 24. Ilic M. 22. Milosavljevic R. (C) 6. Kanoute F. 97. Spasic M. 70. Nikolic S. 8. Abass I. 9. Shestyuk A.
Substitutes
33. Bogdanovski N. 23. Bojat D. 77. Drobnjak L. 4. Krstic F. 14. Laban L. 70. Miladinovic L. 1. Savic V. (G) 44. Skrobonja N. 17. Sremcevic U. 18. Stevanovic N. 7. Vukajlovic N.	11. Ariyibi G. 89. Izderic L. 3. Jokic R. 91. Maslovaric P. (G) 12. Mboup B. 23. Mustapha I. 7. Nikiforenko O. 33. Petkovic M. 30. Radonjic M. 14. Rochester L. 20. Sreckovic N.
Coaches
Ristic Z.	Nedjic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Vitas U. ↓, Jokic R. ↑,
41', Tasovski V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nikolic S. ↓, Izderic L. ↑,
46', Balevic L. ↓, Savic V. ↑,
49', Bukorac S. 🟨,
61', Ristic S. ↓, Miladinovic L. ↑,
64', Toseski M. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Shestyuk A. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Tasovski V. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
73', Toseski M. ↓, Bojat D. ↑,
74', Abass I. ↓, Sreckovic N. ↑,
74', Shestyuk A. ↓, Mustapha I. ↑,
78', Ignjatovic U. ↓, Bogdanovski N. ↑,
88', Kanoute F. 🟨,
90+1', Spasic M. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 2.

Napredak is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Radnički Niš is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Radnički Niš is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.3:1.6).

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

Radnicki Nis: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Radnicki Nis	9	2	2	5	6:11	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
27.04.26	Javor Ivanjica - Napredak Kruševac	4:0 ✺
23.04.26	Napredak Kruševac - IMT Novi Beograd	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac	4:1 ✺
08.04.26	Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
27.04.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički Niš	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Radnički Niš - Javor Ivanjica	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Radnički 1923 - Radnički Niš	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Vojvodina - Radnički Niš	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Radnički Niš - OFK Beograd	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
14.02.26	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	2:4
14.09.25	Radnički Niš - Napredak Kruševac	3:0
18.05.25	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	2:1
15.12.24	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	2:1
09.08.24	Radnički Niš - Napredak Kruševac	3:1
17.03.24	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	1:0
06.10.23	Radnički Niš - Napredak Kruševac	1:1

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