Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Napredak Kruševac		Bačka

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5.25
	1.57	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.45	5.4
	1.62	3.86	5.8
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.62	3.5	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	3.6 ↑ (3.44)	5.32 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
57.4%

Draw
25.4%

Bačka
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

21.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bačka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-3%)

Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 20 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga).

Recent matches Napredak is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bačka has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Napredak is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Napredak won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Napredak won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
08.03.21	Zlatibor Čajetina - Napredak Kruševac	1:2 ✺
03.03.21	Napredak Kruševac - Rad	0:2 ✺
26.02.21	Vojvodina - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Napredak Kruševac - Inđija	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWL
- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
08.03.21	Bačka - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Voždovac - Bačka	2:1 ✺
27.02.21	Bačka - Čukarički	1:2 ✺
22.02.21	Bačka Topola - Bačka	3:0 ✺
17.02.21	Bačka - Proleter Novi Sad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
19.09.20	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	0:0
30.11.18	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	3:3
04.08.18	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	1:1
29.11.17	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	1:1
09.08.17	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	1:4
13.04.17	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	2:0
05.11.16	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	1:3

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