Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Kruševac)

Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	Napredak Kruševac		Mladost Lučani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.2	2.62
	2.63	3.25	2.63
	2.02	3.41	3.36	Watch
	2.47	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.98)	3.24 ↓ (3.32)	2.95 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
39.8%

Draw
28.7%

Mladost Lučani
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.

Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mladost Lučani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mladost Lučani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savic V. (G) 24. Ignjatovic U. 5. Bukorac S. 70. Miladinovic L. 77. Drobnjak L. 12. Bastajic N. 4. Krstic F. 10. Vulic M. 95. Miletic V. 33. Bogdanovski N. 7. Vukajlovic N.	1. Stamenkovic S. (G) 25. Ciric J. 12. Joksimovic M. 37. Orescanin M. 30. Cirkovic N. 77. Ljubomirac U. 8. Tumbasevic J. 28. Boranijasevic N. 18. Zunic F. 10. Bojic P. 20. Milosevic A.
Substitutes
84. Balevic L. (G) 9. Bubanj M. 27. Cubra D. 44. Hajdin S. 55. Kotlajic D. 14. Laban L. 15. Lutovac A. 11. Majdevac A. 22. Toseski M. 23. Zlicic L.	31. Alempijevic O. 7. Andric N. 42. Djurkovic J. 9. Hadzic I. 35. Lekovic N. 23. Matijasevic B. (G) 38. Milojevic N. 5. Pantic D. 19. Sremcevic U. 33. Udovicic Z. 17. Varjacic A.
Coaches
Batak R.	Lalatovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Zunic F. (Pen),
23', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Majdevac A. ↑,
41', Bukorac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bastajic N. ↓, Lutovac A. ↑,
62', Zunic F. 🟨,
72', Bukorac S. ↓, Zlicic L. ↑,
74', Ciric J. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
75', Joksimovic M. ↓, Milojevic N. ↑,
75', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Udovicic Z. ↑,
76', Sremcevic U. 🟨,
82', Miletic V. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
87', Milojevic N. 🟨,
90+1', Boranijasevic N. ↓, Andric N. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.

Napredak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mladost Lučani has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Napredak might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
02.11.25	Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac	1:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
29.10.25	Trayal Kruševac - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
24.10.25	Napredak Kruševac - Vojvodina	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLL
- Mladost Lučani
Serbian Cup
30.10.25	Dubočica - Mladost Lučani	2:1 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
24.10.25	Partizan - Mladost Lučani	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mladost Lučani - Železničar Pančevo	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mladost Lučani - Čukarički	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
23.02.25	Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
21.09.24	Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani	1:2
22.04.24	Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac	3:1
16.12.23	Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac	1:1
20.08.23	Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani	0:1
26.04.23	Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac	0:1
04.04.23	Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani	0:0

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