The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
OFK Beograd 64.7%
Draw 21.5%
Napredak Kruševac 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
26.5%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
26.4%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OFK Beograd's performance.
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OFK Beograd that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. OFK will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Napredak will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Napredak: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napredak Kruševac will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Popovic B. (G) 77. Gobeljic M. 4. Pavlovic A. 15. Djermanovic A. (C) 24. Stojanovic U. 14. Momcilovic M. 94. Diogo Bezerra 8. Cvetkovic A. 43. Addo H. 11. Prutsev E. 22. Enem J.
1. Savic V. (G) 33. Bogdanovski N. 5. Bukorac S. 31. Subert I. 77. Drobnjak L. 7. Vukajlovic N. 9. Bubanj M. 4. Krstic F. 95. Miletic V. 10. Vulic M. 12. Bastajic N. (C)
Substitutes
9. Alba H. 25. Dembele I. 2. Despotovski S. 26. Fall M. 17. Kabic U. 7. Knezevic N. 21. Lazic U. 10. Markovic S. 12. Scepovic S. 97. Stojisic N. (G) 45. Vukicevic A.
84. Balevic L. (G) 44. Hajdin S. 24. Ignjatovic U. 55. Kotlajic D. 14. Laban L. 11. Majdevac A. 99. Mihajlovic P. 70. Miladinovic L. 88. Saric M. 22. Toseski M. 23. Zlicic L.
Coaches
Krunic S.
Batak R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Bastajic N. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Enem J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Enem J. ⚽, Prutsev E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bukorac S. ↓, Ignjatovic U. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Momcilovic M. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
55', Stojanovic U. 🟨,
58', Gobeljic M. 🟨,
62', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
62', Bogdanovski N. 🟨,
63', Vukajlovic N. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
63', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
65', Addo H. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Alba H. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
72', Bubanj M. ↓, Kotlajic D. ↑,
74', Enem J. ↓, Knezevic N. ↑,
74', Gobeljic M. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
78', Bastajic N. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
81', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Kabic U. ↑,
81', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Markovic S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 4.
OFK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Napredak has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
OFK could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, OFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).