Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 6

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.3
	2.75	3.15	2.38
	2.89	3.14	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.38
	2.85	3.05	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
32.8%

Draw
29.2%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Nara Club - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Okada S. (G) 3. Sawada Y. 5. Suzuki D. 6. Nakayama M. 40. Yoshimura Y. 41. Morita R. 14. Nakashima K. 13. Tsunami Y. 9. Sakai T. 70. Kawatani N. 17. Tamura S.	13. Kondo I. (G) 37. Sehata G. 22. Takahashi Y. 6. Yonehara S. 2. Tagashira R. 8. Yamauchi R. 36. Adachi S. 11. Kagami T. 7. Nishimura Y. 15. Kazama K. 32. Kawata A.
Substitutes
11. Hyakuda M. 22. Ikoma K. 25. Kamigaki R. 20. Kunitake Y. 23. Okada Y. 33. Sato H. 7. Tamura R. 96. Vito M. (G) 10. Yamamoto S.	4. Akimoto R. 9. Aoki S. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 38. Konishi H. 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 20. Shimokawa T. 18. Tanaka S. 17. Yamanaka A.
Coaches
Nakata I.	Okita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Tamura S. ⚽, Kawatani N. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Kawata A. ⚽, Yamauchi R. (A),
32', Nakayama M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sakai T. ↓, Okada Y. ↑,
46', Nakayama M. ↓, Kamigaki R. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Okada Y. ⚽, Yoshimura Y. (A),
60', Adachi S. ↓, Nose S. ↑,
60', Kagami T. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
60', Kazama K. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
70', Tsunami Y. ↓, Ikoma K. ↑,
70', Morita R. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
75', Tagashira R. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
75', Kawatani N. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
82', Yonehara S. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Kunitake Y. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Thespakusatsu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Nara Club - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
15.03.25	Sagamihara - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Nara Club - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:2 ✺
01.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWT

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