Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.61	3.23	2.1
	3.57	3.22	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.49	3.16	2.02	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.62)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	2.07 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
26.5%

Draw
29.2%

Matsumoto Yamaga
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nara Club's form might have worsened.

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matsumoto Yamaga's recent form is better than expected.

Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Okada S. (G) 5. Suzuki D. 22. Ikoma K. 16. Okuda Y. 40. Yoshimura Y. 13. Tsunami Y. 8. Horiuchi H. 70. Kawatani N. 7. Tamura R. 23. Okada Y. 17. Tamura S.	1. Ouchi I. (G) 24. Ogawa D. 44. Nonomura T. 4. Takahashi S. 17. Yamamoto R. 15. Yamamoto K. 46. Yasunaga R. 22. Saso K. 10. Kikui Y. 41. Murakoshi K. 14. Ando T.
Substitutes
11. Hyakuda M. 25. Kamigaki R. 20. Kunitake Y. 6. Nakayama M. 9. Sakai T. 33. Sato H. 21. Tomizu R. 96. Vito M. (G) 39. Yomesaka S.	11. Asakawa H. 40. Higuchi D. 30. Kokubu R. 20. Maeda R. 36. Matsumura G. 16. Miyabe T. 21. Nishimura H. (G) 18. Ohashi H. 19. Sugita H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ando T. ↓, Asakawa H. ↑,
28', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Kikui Y. ⚽, Saso K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Kawatani N. ↓, Yomesaka S. ↑,
61', Tsunami Y. ↓, Tomizu R. ↑,
61', Tamura R. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
74', Saso K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
74', Yamamoto R. ↓, Higuchi D. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Tamura S. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Kunitake Y. ⚽,
88', Murakoshi K. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
88', Takahashi S. ↓, Sugita H. ↑,

Preview

Nara Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Matsumoto Yamaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nara Club won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nara Club won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
23.02.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Nara Club - Fukushima United	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Nara Club - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sagamihara - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLWW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
23.02.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Kataller Toyama - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fukushima United	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
29.09.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club	1:1
13.04.24	Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2
02.12.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club	0:1
04.03.23	Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2

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