Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 20

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		YSCC

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.27	3.56
	2.02	3.24	3.52	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.01	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.27)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.47 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
45%

Draw
28.8%

YSCC
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

YSCC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and YSCC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nara Club that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for YSCC than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that YSCC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Nara Club - YSCC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nara Club will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). YSCC will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for YSCC: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okada S. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 4. Ise W. 5. Suzuki D. 49. Shimokawa Y. 8. Horiuchi H. 14. Nakashima K. 20. Kunitake Y. 43. Tamura R. 15. Gustavsson P. 31. Okada Y.	31. Okamoto M. (G) 2. Hanafusa M. 5. Oshima H. 3. Fujiwara T. 26. Okoshi H. 50. Nakazato T. 39. Okumura K. 33. Hashimoto R. 7. Kikutani A. 18. Fujishima J. 9. Kayanuma Y.
Substitutes
17. Hyakuda M. 22. Ikoma K. 25. Kamigaki R. 7. Kuwajima R. 11. Nishida M. 13. Tsunami Y. 96. Vito M. (G)	23. Domoto H. 32. Matsumura K. 25. Nishiyama S. 19. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 67. Ogochukwu O. 21. Takahashi C. (G) 14. Wakizaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Tamura R. ⚽, Horiuchi H. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Okada Y. ⚽, Gustavsson P. (A),
37', Okumura K. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Kikutani A. ⚽, Fujiwara T. (A),
44', Yoshimura Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Ikoma K. ↑,
46', Okoshi H. ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
56', Tamura R. ↓, Nishida M. ↑,
56', Gustavsson P. ↓, Hyakuda M. ↑,
62', Suzuki D. 🟨,
63', Fujishima J. ↓, Wakizaka R. ↑,
66', Kunitake Y. 🟨,
67', Nakashima K. ↓, Kamigaki R. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Oshima H. ⚽,
86', Kayanuma Y. ↓, Ogochukwu O. ↑,
86', Kikutani A. ↓, Domoto H. ↑,
89', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Tsunami Y. ↑,
90+1', Oshima H. 🟨,
90+4', Hanafusa M. ↓, Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
29.06.24	Nara Club - Gainare Tottori	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
16.06.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kashima Antlers - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.24	Nara Club - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLW
- YSCC Yokohama
Japan J3 League
29.06.24	YSCC - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - YSCC	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	YSCC - Gifu	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - YSCC	4:0 ✺
02.06.24	YSCC - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.04.24	YSCC - Nara Club	1:1
08.10.23	YSCC - Nara Club	1:0
26.03.23	Nara Club - YSCC	2:2

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