Match Info

J3 League - Round 16

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Gainare Tottori

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.72	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.86	3.29	2.42
				Watch
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.73	3.37	2.46	Watch
	2.72	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.1)	3.21 ↑ (3.01)	2.36 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
33.1%

Draw
28.3%

Gainare Tottori
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

30%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nara Club's form might have worsened.

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainare Tottori's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nara Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainare Tottori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nara Club - Gainare Tottori Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gainare Tottori (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Okada S. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 33. Sato H. 22. Ikoma K. 16. Okuda Y. 20. Kunitake Y. 14. Nakashima K. 25. Kamigaki R. 70. Kawatani N. 7. Tamura R. 11. Hyakuda M.	31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 34. Soga D. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 7. Ozawa H. 10. Togashi Y.
Substitutes
8. Horiuchi H. 92. Inprakhon T. 41. Morita R. 6. Nakayama M. 3. Sawada Y. 5. Suzuki D. 96. Vito M. (G) 10. Yamamoto S. 32. Yu Y.	66. Dohi K. 32. Ikawa T. 42. Kaneura M. 3. Nagano S. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K. 22. Yoshida I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Nukui H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Maruyama S. 🟨,
53', Ikoma K. 🟨,
59', Oshima H. 🟨,
60', Kamigaki R. 🟨,
63', Togashi Y. ↓, Yoshida I. ↑,
63', Oshima H. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
63', Okuda Y. ↓, Yu Y. ↑,
63', Tamura R. ↓, Horiuchi H. ↑,
69', Maruyama S. ↓, Ikawa T. ↑,
69', Miki N. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Kawatani N. ⚽,
76', Soga D. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
76', Sato H. ↓, Sawada Y. ↑,
85', Kawatani N. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
85', Kamigaki R. ↓, Morita R. ↑,
89', Tojo A. 🟨,
90+4', Ikawa T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 14).

Nara Club has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gainare Tottori has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nara Club may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nara Club won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Kochi United - Nara Club	3:2 ✺
31.05.25	Nagano Parceiro - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Nara Club - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Nara Club - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Veroskronos Tsuno - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
17.08.24	Gainare Tottori - Nara Club	2:1
29.06.24	Nara Club - Gainare Tottori	2:2
25.11.23	Nara Club - Gainare Tottori	1:2
29.04.23	Gainare Tottori - Nara Club	0:2

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