Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Nart Cherkessk		Kyzyltash

	1	X	2
	1.80	4.34	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.27)	4.34 ↑ (3.38)	3.39 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nart Cherkessk
51.4%

Draw
21.3%

Kyzyltash
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nart Cherkessk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nart Cherkessk's performance.

Kyzyltash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyzyltash might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nart Cherkessk than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nart Cherkessk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzyltash than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Nart Cherkessk - Kyzyltash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Karginov G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4).

Nart has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kyzyltash is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nart Cherkessk	24	11	4	9	33:21	12	37
7	Kyzyltash	24	11	4	9	41:34	7	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nart Cherkessk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Rubin Yalta - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Chayka 2 - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - FC Sevastopol	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Dinskaya - Nart Cherkessk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLT
- PFK Kyzyltash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Kyzyltash - Druzhba Maykop	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Kyzyltash	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Kyzyltash - Neftyanik Izberbash	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Spartak Nalchik - Kyzyltash	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kyzyltash - Angust Nazran	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW

Nart Cherkessk - Kyzyltash: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide