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Current Win Probability
Nasaf Qarshi 52.3%
Draw 26%
AGMK 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
28.3%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
27.6%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
AGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Nasaf Qarshi - AGMK Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nasaf (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Nematov A. (G) 14. Mukhitdinov S. 22. Golban I. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 6. Rakhmatov M. 7. Mozgovoy A. 77. Bozorov O. 10. Ceran D. 19. Colovic S. 18. Norchaev K.
35. Ilyosov J. (G) 19. Mukimzhonov A. 20. Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 6. Ulmasaliev A. 7. Akhmadaliev D. 15. Rustamov O. 5. Papava G. 10. Giyosov K. 4. Kosimov M. 77. Abdurazzakov N. 11. Daci K.
Substitutes
73. Asomiddinov D. 24. Bakhromov S. 5. Gaybullaev G. 99. Hebaj R. 33. Khalilov B. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 17. Nurulloev S. 9. Sidikov J. 1. Vorobey O. (G)
27. Abdurakhmonov A. 13. Begimov E. 18. Kholmurodov A. 2. Komilov A. 9. Sanchez R. 1. Sayyotov K. (G) 28. Sentoku A. 99. Sobirzhonov A. 90. Turdialiev A.
Coaches
Berdiev R.
Kasymov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Norchaev K. ⚽, Abdirakhmatov Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Daci K. ↓, Kholmurodov A. ↑,
46', Colovic S. ↓, Gaybullaev G. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Abdurazzakov N. ⚽, Giyosov K. (A),
60', Eshmurodov U. ↓, Mukhammadiev S. ↑,
67', Norchaev K. ↓, Hebaj R. ↑,
67', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Bakhromov S. ↑,
71', Kosimov M. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
71', Abdurazzakov N. ↓, Sobirzhonov A. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Ceran D. ⚽,
79', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
82', Papava G. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
86', Giyosov K. ↓, Sentoku A. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 4.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, Nasaf is a strong favorite.
We predict that Nasaf will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
Tajikistan
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Nematov A. (G) 
Ceran D. 
Papava G. 
Daci K. 
Vorobey O. (G) 
Sanchez R. 
Sentoku A. 
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