Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nassaji Mazandaran		Mumbai City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.75	11	Watch
	1.25	5.5	12	Watch
	1.25	5.9	14.14
	1.28	5.28	12.97
	1.18	5.5	11
	1.25	5.75	11.5	Watch
	1.25	5.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	5.58 ↑ (4.54)	11.94 ↑ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nassaji Mazandaran
75.4%

Draw
16.8%

Mumbai City
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

16.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nassaji Mazandaran's performance.

Mumbai City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nassaji Mazandaran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mumbai City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mumbai City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nassaji Mazandaran - Mumbai City Predictions

Users Predictions: Nassaji Mazandaran will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Khatir H. (G) 55. Seifi M. 4. Janmaleki A. 50. Samdaliri A. 77. Hosseini E. 88. Babaei E. 11. Ghaed Rahmati M. 5. Gholamalibeigi S. (C) 29. Torabi M. 96. Abbasi M. 9. Azadi M. R.	1. Lachenpa P. (G) 2. Bheke R. (C) 44. Nongtdu H. 3. Valpuia 31. Mishra A. 7. Chhangte L. 16. Rai V. 45. Apuia 11. Singh G. 29. Singh B. 6. Partap V.
Substitutes
6. Abdi M. 99. Abdulnabi A. 81. Barzegar A. 80. Emdadi H. 8. Esmaeili F. 90. Jamshidi Ghadikolaei A. 70. Mahjori A. 1. Mazaheri M. (G) 3. Mohammadzadeh V. 22. Nono 18. Rezaei M. 10. Zamehran H.	28. Chhikara A. 21. Lotjem S. 13. Nawaz M. (G) 60. Nazareth F. 20. Rane J. 27. Rodrigues N. 43. Rohlupuia P. C. 22. Roy B. (G) 17. Stalin S.

Preview

Nassaji has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mumbai City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Mumbai City have a series of home games.

In this match Nassaji is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nassaji won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Pro League
12.11.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Zob Ahan	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Navbahor Namangan	1:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
02.11.23	Tractor Sazi - Nassaji Mazandaran	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.23	Navbahor Namangan - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTL
- Mumbai City
AFC Champions League
06.11.23	Mumbai City - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
Indian ISL
02.11.23	Mumbai City - Punjab	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Mumbai City - Hyderabad	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.23	Al-Hilal - Mumbai City	6:0 ✺
Indian ISL
08.10.23	Mumbai City - Kerala Blasters	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
18.09.23	Mumbai City - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:2

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