Match Info

Date: 28 December 2020, Monday


	Navad Urmia		Esteghlal Molasani

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.75	2.5
	2.8	2.7	2.45
	2.7	2.75	2.55
	2.62	2.75	2.7
	2.7	3.04	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.08)	2.8 ↑ (2.42)	2.56 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
32.7%

Draw
32.1%

Esteghlal Molasani
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

37.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

27.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Esteghlal Molasani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navad Urmia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Molasani than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esteghlal Molasani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navad Urmia - Esteghlal Molasani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Navad Urmia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Esteghlal Molasani is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
22.12.20	Navad Urmia - Shahrdari Astara	0:1 ✺
16.12.20	Mes Kerman - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
10.12.20	Navad Urmia - Shahin Bushehr	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Fajr Sepasi - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Navad Urmia - Gol Reyhan Alborz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Esteghlal Molasani
Iran Division 1
22.12.20	Esteghlal Molasani - Gol Reyhan Alborz	1:0 ✺
16.12.20	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Molasani	3:1 ✺
10.12.20	Esteghlal Molasani - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:4 ✺
05.12.20	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Esteghlal Molasani - Havadar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWT

Navad Urmia - Esteghlal Molasani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide