Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Kheybar Khorramabad		Esteghlal Molasani

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.3	6.5
	1.49	3.35	7.53
	1.48	3.29	7.53
	1.47	3.32	8.3
	1.5	3.35	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.32 ↑ (3.21)	7.45 ↑ (7.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kheybar Khorramabad
60.7%

Draw
27.2%

Esteghlal Molasani
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

28.1%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

27.5%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Esteghlal Molasani have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Molasani than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kheybar Khorramabad won 3.

Kheybar Khorramabad is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Esteghlal Molasani is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kheybar Khorramabad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kheybar Khorramabad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kheybar Khorramabad won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kheybar Khorramabad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Division 1
29.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
23.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
15.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
09.11.23	Darya Babol - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTW
- Esteghlal Molasani
Iran Division 1
29.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Darya Babol	2:2 ✺
15.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Molasani	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Mes Kerman - Esteghlal Molasani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
14.04.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1
06.11.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	4:0
14.04.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0
02.12.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	3:1
13.04.21	Esteghlal Molasani - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1
05.12.20	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	0:1

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