Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Jose Bento Pessoa (Figueira da Foz)


	Naval		Fatima

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	1.81	3.09	4.3
	2.11	3.07	3.42	Watch
	1.84	3.24	4.01
	1.81	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	3.89 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
48.3%

Draw
28.3%

Fatima
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Naval - Fatima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 7).

Naval is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Fatima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Naval - Peniche	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Oliveira Hospital - Naval	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Naval - Marinhense	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Naval - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWWWL
- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Fatima - Mortágua	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Lajense - Fatima	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Samora Correia - Fatima	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Fatima - Peniche	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Caldas - Fatima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL

Naval - Fatima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide