Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Jose Bento Pessoa (Figueira da Foz)


	Naval		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.08	2.58
	2.53	3.08	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.24)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	2.58 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naval
35.7%

Draw
29.3%

Marinhense
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.2%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.9%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naval's performance.

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marinhense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naval that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marinhense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naval - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Maria G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 7).

Recent performances by Naval have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marinhense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Naval - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	SC Lusitânia - Naval	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Naval - União da Serra	3:5 ✺
17.08.25	SB Castelo Branco - Naval	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Naval - Eléctrico	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLW
- AC Marinhense
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Marinhense - Mosteirense	6:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Marinhense - Samora Correia	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Fatima - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Peniche - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTW

Naval - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide