Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande (Leiria)


	Marinhense		Mortágua

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.20	3.42	Watch
	2.22	2.88	3.32
	2.2	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	2.68 ↓ (2.95)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
37.5%

Draw
34.4%

Mortágua
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Marinhense - Mortágua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Pais J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1.

Marinhense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Marinhense - Samora Correia	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Fatima - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Peniche - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Pombal - Marinhense	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Marinhense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWWT
- Mortágua FC
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Carregal Do Sal - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.08.25	União da Serra - Mortágua	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Mortágua - Fatima	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Pero Pinheiro - Mortágua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.03.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1
03.11.24	Mortágua - Marinhense	1:0
04.02.24	Marinhense - Mortágua	2:0
01.10.23	Mortágua - Marinhense	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Mortágua - Marinhense	2:2
13.11.22	Marinhense - Mortágua	3:1
03.04.21	Mortágua - Marinhense	0:2

Marinhense - Mortágua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide