Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Naval Reinosa		Colindres

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.97	3.25	3.5
	1.96	3.3	3.67
	1.95	3.41	3.54	Watch
	1.94	3.26	3.61
	1.97	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	3.57 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval Reinosa
47.1%

Draw
27.4%

Colindres
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Colindres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Naval Reinosa - Colindres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Lorenzo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
88', 🟥,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Colindres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Naval Reinosa have a series of guest games.

Naval Reinosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Naval Reinosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Naval Reinosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
13.04.25	Castro - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Siete Villas	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Albericia - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Vimenor - Naval Reinosa	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Tropezón - Naval Reinosa	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTLWL
- CD Colindres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.04.25	Cayón - Colindres	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Colindres - Bezana	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Revilla - Colindres	4:1 ✺
16.03.25	Colindres - Monte	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Colindres - Castro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.12.24	Colindres - Naval Reinosa	3:1
13.01.24	Naval Reinosa - Colindres	3:1
19.02.22	Colindres - Naval Reinosa	2:1

Naval Reinosa - Colindres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide