Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 29

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Colindres		Castro

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.82	2.58
	2.79	2.93	2.59
	2.79	2.9	2.6
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.75	2.81	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.76)	2.85 ↑ (2.85)	2.56 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colindres
32.8%

Draw
31.8%

Castro
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

31.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

32.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colindres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Colindres - Castro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colindres won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Colindres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Colindres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colindres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.03.26	Cayón - Colindres	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Colindres - Montañas del Pas	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Escobedo - Colindres	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Colindres - Vimenor	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tropezón - Colindres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WWLTT
- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.03.26	Castro - Selaya	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Laredo - Castro	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Castro - Bezana	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Torina - Castro	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Castro - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.11.25	Castro - Colindres	2:1
09.03.25	Colindres - Castro	2:0
01.05.24	Castro - Colindres	1:0
07.01.24	Colindres - Castro	0:1
05.02.22	Colindres - Castro	1:1
10.10.21	Castro - Colindres	2:0

Colindres - Castro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide