Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Naval Reinosa		Sámano

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.04	2.92	3.49
	2.05	2.92	3.49
	2.02	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	2.99 ↑ (2.89)	3.43 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval Reinosa
43.9%

Draw
30%

Sámano
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naval Reinosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sámano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Naval Reinosa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sámano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Naval Reinosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Naval Reinosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Naval Reinosa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Naval Reinosa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Naval Reinosa - Cartes	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Tropezón - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Naval Reinosa - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Escobedo - Naval Reinosa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLL
- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Sámano - Castro	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Atlético Albericia - Sámano	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Sámano - Velarde	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Laredo - Sámano	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Guarnizo - Sámano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
19.02.23	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	0:0
15.10.22	Sámano - Naval Reinosa	2:0
30.01.22	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	0:0
20.04.19	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	2:3

Naval Reinosa - Sámano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide