Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 8

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Sámano		Castro

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.8	3.13	4.25
	1.75	3.42	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	4.15 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
51.2%

Draw
27.1%

Castro
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Sámano aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Sámano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sámano is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sámano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sámano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.10.23	Atlético Albericia - Sámano	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Sámano - Velarde	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Laredo - Sámano	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Guarnizo - Sámano	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Sámano - Cartes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
22.10.23	Castro - Guarnizo	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Cartes - Castro	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Castro - Tropezón	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Castro	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Castro - Escobedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.02.23	Sámano - Castro	2:2
09.10.22	Castro - Sámano	0:0
15.01.22	Castro - Sámano	0:1
18.09.21	Sámano - Castro	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
02.12.17	Sámano - Castro	2:0

Sámano - Castro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide