Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Navarro		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	5	3	1.68
	3.5	2.88	1.94
	4.1	2.95	1.84
	4.63	3.07	1.75
	4.45	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.69)	3.03 ↑ (2.76)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navarro
20.7%

Draw
29.6%

Lealtad
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.8%

31.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

24.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lealtad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navarro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lealtad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navarro - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Navarro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lealtad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navarro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lealtad have a series of home games.

Lealtad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Navarro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Navarro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.01.22	Tuilla - Navarro	1:1 ✺
19.01.22	Navarro - Langreo B	0:2 ✺
05.01.22	Caudal Deportivo - Navarro	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Roces - Navarro	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Navarro - Colunga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLTTW
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.01.22	Lealtad - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:1 ✺
19.01.22	Lealtad - Urraca	1:0 ✺
09.01.22	Real Titánico - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
15.12.21	Lealtad - Luarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.09.21	Lealtad - Navarro	1:1
19.01.20	Lealtad - Navarro	1:1

Navarro - Lealtad

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Navarro - Lealtad Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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