Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Namangan)

Referee: Norsafarov F. (Uzb)


	Navbahor Namangan		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.45	1.72
	4.12	3.73	1.78
	4.63	3.49	1.71	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.72
	4	3.66	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↓ (4.63)	3.62 ↑ (3.49)	1.73 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navbahor Namangan
21.6%

Draw
25.3%

Pakhtakor
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

26.4%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

26%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yuldashev S. (G) 19. Gofurov M. 36. Guilherme Guedes 99. Higor Gabriel 7. Akhmedov A. 12. Mirsaidov S. 17. Jiyanov R. 70. Gulomov A. 8. Komilov S. 13. Teidi B. 29. Pedro	12. Nazarov V. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 2. Askarov B. 5. Khamraliev M. 20. Abdullaev D. 77. Saitov D. 10. Turgunboev A. 21. Resan B. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 17. Khamdamov D. 11. Sergeev I.
Substitutes
24. Abdulkhaev D. 14. Boltaboev J. 11. Giyosov M. 6. Gulomzhonov S. 5. Julio Cesar 42. Qurbonov F. 50. Rakibov M. 55. Tozhidinov K. 9. Urinboev Z.	18. Abdikholikov B. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 32. Dilshodbekov M. 50. Flamarion 19. Jhonatan (G) 59. Karimov M. 94. Riascos B. 41. Zukhriddinov F.
Coaches
Jorayev S.	Tadzhiev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Sergeev I. ⚽, Alizhonov K. (A),
29', Teidi B. 🟨,
45', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pedro ↓, Urinboev Z. ↑,
58', Ibrokhimov I. 🟨,
64', Resan B. 🟨,
65', Resan B. 🟨,
67', Mirsaidov S. ↓, Abdulkhaev D. ↑,
77', Teidi B. ↓, Boltaboev J. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Urinboev Z. ⚽, Gulomov A. (A),
85', Turgunboev A. ↓, Flamarion ↑,
88', Boltaboev J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 2.

Navbahor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pakhtakor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Pakhtakor is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Navbahor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
21.11.25	Mashal Mubarek - Navbahor Namangan	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Kokand 1912 - Navbahor Namangan	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Navbahor Namangan - Bunyodkor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
20.11.25	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kokand 1912 - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Pakhtakor - Bunyodkor	4:2 ✺
Uzbek Cup
29.10.25	Pakhtakor - Buxoro	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
23.10.25	Xorazm Urganch - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
06.07.25	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	2:0
09.11.24	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	5:2
Uzbek Cup
30.08.24	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 penalties
Uzbek League
16.06.24	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:0
10.08.23	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	1:2
17.03.23	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	2:1
Uzbek Cup
02.09.22	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	2:1

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