The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Navbahor Namangan 43.3%
Draw 27.4%
Pakhtakor 29.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
26.4%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.1%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pakhtakor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pakhtakor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yusupov U. (G) 55. Khamraliev M. 4. Mamatkazin I. 34. Jgerenaia G. 5. Komilov D. 8. Kholmatov D. 13. Teidi B. 6. Abdurakhmonov S. 23. Ilic V. 11. Norchaev K. 7. Jiyanov R.
12. Nazarov V. (G) 8. Saitov D. 4. Tahseen Z. 10. Mozgovoy A. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 34. Nasrullaev S. 17. Khamdamov D. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 23. Buriev A. 50. Flamarion 90. Chinedu S.
Substitutes
22. Adkhamzoda U. 44. Chichinadze A. 17. Giyosov M. 30. Jaloliddinov J. 28. Kojo J. 2. Mirsaidov S. 21. Rakhimzhonov A. 77. Usmonov M. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
20. Abdullaev D. 77. Bozorov O. 44. Ermanov D. 29. Hussein A. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 22. Karimov M. 35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 21. Resan B. 33. Saydaliev K.
Coaches
Kapadze T.
Tadzhiev K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Sobirkhuzhaev S. 🟨,
35', Saitov D. 🟨,
40', Komilov D. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Tahseen Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Komilov D. ↓, Adkhamzoda U. ↑,
49', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
55', Jiyanov R. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Ilic V. 🟨,
62', Ilic V. ↓, Jaloliddinov J. ↑,
66', Khamdamov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
66', Chinedu S. ↓, Hussein A. ↑,
68', Abdurakhmonov S. ↓, Kojo J. ↑,
68', Norchaev K. ↓, Giyosov M. ↑,
83', Mozgovoy A. 🟨,
84', Saitov D. ↓, Karimov M. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Khamraliev M. ⚽,
89', Teidi B. ↓, Rakhimzhonov A. ↑,
89', Rakhimzhonov A. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 3.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Pakhtakor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Navbahor has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:23 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Navbahor against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:14 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).
Watch
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Yusupov U. (G) 
Jgerenaia G. 
Teidi B. 
Ilic V. 
Tahseen Z. 
Flamarion 
Kojo J. 
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