The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AGMK 27.1%
Draw 26.4%
Navbahor Namangan 46.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.7%
24.2%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
23.6%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navbahor Namangan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AGMK - Navbahor Namangan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Abdunabiev K. (G) 17. Abdurazzakov N. 88. Haghnazari S. 44. Karimov A. 19. Mukimzhonov A. 5. Papava G. (C) 77. Pesic I. 28. Sentoku A. 10. Sobirzhonov A. 8. Turdialiev A. 6. Ulmasaliev A.
1. Yusupov U. (G) 6. Abdurakhmonov S. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 30. Jaloliddinov J. 7. Jiyanov R. 55. Khamraliev M. 8. Kholmatov D. 5. Komilov D. 4. Mamatkazin I. 11. Norchaev K. 21. Rakhimzhonov A.
Substitutes
26. Abdullayev F. 22. Akhrorov S. 13. Begimov E. 9. Kholmurodov A. 4. Kojic U. 41. Qosimov M. 30. Sarimsakov A. 21. Tursunkulov K. 31. Ubaydullayev M. (G)
44. Chichinadze A. . Giyosov M. 23. Ilic V. 28. Kojo J. 2. Mirsaidov S. 3. Rakhimjonov Z. 13. Teidi B. 77. Usmonov M. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
Coaches
Kasymov M.
Kapadze T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Mukimzhonov A. ⚽, Sobirzhonov A. (A),
23', Rakhimzhonov A. 🟨,
28', Papava G. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Mamatkazin I. ⚽, Kholmatov D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pesic I. ↓, Kholmurodov A. ↑,
64', Jaloliddinov J. ↓, Ilic V. ↑,
64', Jiyanov R. ↓, Giyosov M. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Abdurazzakov N. ⚽,
80', Norchaev K. ↓, Kojo J. ↑,
80', Rakhimzhonov A. ↓, Teidi B. ↑,
81', Abdurazzakov N. ↓, Tursunkulov K. ↑,
87', Turdialiev A. 🟥,
90+2', Haghnazari S. ↓, Begimov E. ↑,
90+2', Sentoku A. ↓, Sarimsakov A. ↑,
90+6', Ilic V. (Penalty Awarded),
90+13', Tursunkulov K. 🟨,
90+14', 2 - 2, Abdurakhmonov S. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 3.
AGMK has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Navbahor is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Navbahor for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, AGMK has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AGMK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).
Watch
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Abdunabiev K. (G) 
Haghnazari S. 
Papava G. (C) 
Pesic I. 
Sentoku A. 
Kojic U. 
Kojo J. 
Teidi B. 
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