Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq)

Referee: Risqullaev A. (Uzb)


	AGMK		Navbahor Namangan

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.05
	1.76	3.72	4.34
	1.83	3.54	3.79	Watch
	1.74	3.66	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.61 ↑ (3.54)	4.12 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGMK
52.2%

Draw
25.5%

Navbahor Namangan
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+1%)

AGMK - Navbahor Namangan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Abdunabiev K. (G) 7. Akhmadaliev D. 5. Papava G. 20. Tukhtakhuzhaev I. (C) 21. Akhrorov S. 11. Sanchez R. 15. Rustamov O. 28. Sentoku A. 77. Abdurazzakov N. 27. Abdurakhmonov A. 10. Giyosov K.	16. Yuldashev S. (G) 99. Higor Gabriel 7. Akhmedov A. (C) 36. Guilherme Guedes 70. Gulomov A. 8. Komilov S. 13. Teidi B. 19. Gofurov M. 11. Giyosov M. 29. Pedro 17. Jiyanov R.
Substitutes
13. Begimov E. 35. Ilyosov J. (G) 8. Kholmurodov A. 4. Kosimov M. 19. Mukimzhonov A. 30. Sarimsakov A. 16. Senaga N. 99. Sobirzhonov A. 6. Ulmasaliev A.	24. Abdulkhaev D. 6. Gulomzhonov S. 22. Joraboev A. 5. Julio Cesar 41. Marufov O. (G) 32. Mo'ydinov M. 50. Rakibov M. 55. Tozhidinov K. 9. Urinboev Z.
Coaches
Kasymov M.	Jorayev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', Giyosov M. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Abdurakhmonov A. ⚽, Giyosov K. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Sentoku A. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Giyosov K. ⚽, Abdurakhmonov A. (A),
45', Rustamov O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guilherme Guedes ↓, Abdulkhaev D. ↑,
62', Pedro ↓, Urinboev Z. ↑,
62', Komilov S. ↓, Tozhidinov K. ↑,
62', Higor Gabriel ↓, Mo'ydinov M. ↑,
78', Sentoku A. ↓, Sarimsakov A. ↑,
78', Abdurakhmonov A. ↓, Kholmurodov A. ↑,
78', Abdurazzakov N. ↓, Sobirzhonov A. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Urinboev Z. ⚽, Mo'ydinov M. (A),
85', Urinboev Z. 🟨,
88', Teidi B. ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,
90', Rustamov O. ↓, Kosimov M. ↑,
90', Giyosov K. ↓, Senaga N. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 2.

AGMK has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Navbahor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Navbahor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AGMK is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC AGMK
Uzbek League
31.10.25	Shurtan Guzar - AGMK	4:3 ✺
26.10.25	AGMK - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Neftchi Fargona - AGMK	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	AGMK - Kokand 1912	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Andijan - AGMK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
30.10.25	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Kokand 1912 - Navbahor Namangan	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Navbahor Namangan - Bunyodkor	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Xorazm Urganch - Navbahor Namangan	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
21.06.25	Navbahor Namangan - AGMK	3:0
12.08.24	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	2:1
09.03.24	Navbahor Namangan - AGMK	1:1
Uzbek Cup
19.10.23	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	3:2 penalties
Uzbek League
30.08.23	Navbahor Namangan - AGMK	0:0
09.04.23	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	2:1
12.11.22	Navbahor Namangan - AGMK	3:1

AGMK - Navbahor Namangan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide