Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Nazillispor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.25
	14	8	1.13
	13.74	7.29	1.12
	14.73	7.37	1.13
	17	9.4	1.06
	14	8	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.66 ↑ (5.2)	7.55 ↑ (4.13)	1.14 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nazillispor
6.7%

Draw
12.2%

Derince Belediyespor
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

20.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nazillispor's form might have worsened.

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derince Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nazillispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-29.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nazillispor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
13', 0 - 1, Ozdemir D. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Altintas B. ⚽,
22', 0 - 3, Tunc G. (Own goal),
36', 0 - 4, Yilmaz A. E. ⚽,
42', 1 - 4, Isler I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 5, Altintas B. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Nazillispor is Relegated to

Nazillispor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Derince Belediyespor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Derince Belediyespor is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nazillispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nazillispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.04.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Nazillispor	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Nazillispor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	0:6 ✺
02.04.25	Nazillispor - Erbaaspor	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Nazillispor	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Nazillispor - Serik Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.04.25	Derince Belediyespor - Giresunspor	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Derince Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Derince Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:3 ✺
02.04.25	Derince Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
22.12.24	Derince Belediyespor - Nazillispor	2:1

Nazillispor - Derince Belediyespor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide