Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Nea Ionia		Asteras Kaisarianis

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.25	1.95
	2.77	3.66	2.09
	3.33	3.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.57)	3.37 ↑ (3.1)	1.99 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nea Ionia
28.4%

Draw
26.6%

Asteras Kaisarianis
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Ionia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nea Ionia's form might have worsened.

Asteras Kaisarianis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asteras Kaisarianis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nea Ionia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nea Ionia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Kaisarianis than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asteras Kaisarianis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Nea Ionia - Asteras Kaisarianis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nea Ionia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Asteras Kaisarianis will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Kaisarianis: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Asteras Kaisarianis will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent form of Nea Ionia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Asteras Kaisarianis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nea Ionia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nea Ionia has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nea Ionia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nea Ionia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO Nea Ionia FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
18.01.26	Kentavros Vrilission - Nea Ionia	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Nea Ionia - Aris Petroupolis	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Amarynthiakos - Nea Ionia	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Diagoras - Nea Ionia	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Nea Artaki - Nea Ionia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- Asteras Kaisarianis
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
18.01.26	Asteras Kaisarianis - Doxa Vyronas	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Asteras Kaisarianis - Kentavros Vrilission	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aris Petroupolis - Asteras Kaisarianis	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Asteras Kaisarianis - Amarynthiakos	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Diagoras - Asteras Kaisarianis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
26.10.25	Asteras Kaisarianis - Nea Ionia	0:1
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
07.12.24	Nea Ionia - Asteras Kaisarianis	0:1

Nea Ionia - Asteras Kaisarianis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide