The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa U21 51.1%
Draw 23.1%
Atlas U21 25.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
27.2%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
25.7%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Necaxa U21's performance.
Atlas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlas U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa U21 than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Necaxa U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas U21 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Necaxa U21 - Atlas U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga MX U21 Apertura - Playoffs and 16th).
Necaxa U21 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlas U21 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa U21 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Necaxa U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
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