The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas U21 36.3%
Draw 28.8%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.9%
30%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
30.3%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Guadalajara Chivas U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas U21 than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Atlas U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX U21 Apertura - Playoffs).
In recent outings, Atlas U21 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Guadalajara U21 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Guadalajara U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlas U21 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
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