Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Needham Market		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.04	3.15	3.25
	2.06	3.31	3.28
	2.09	3.44	3.33	Watch
	2.03	3.25	3.20
	2.05	3.28	3.25
	2.08	3.30	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)	3.28 ↓ (3.43)	3.22 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
44.1%

Draw
27.7%

Worcester City
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Needham Market - Worcester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Morphew D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Pearce L. ⚽,
87', Wise C. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Needham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Needham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Needham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Needham Market: 0.61% Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18:16	2	13
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Needham Market - Stanway Rovers	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Stratford Town - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Needham Market - Halesowen Town	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Alvechurch - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLL
- Worcester City
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Worcester City - Knowle	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Worcester City - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Leamington - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Worcester City - Stamford	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Leighton Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Worcester City - Needham Market	1:0
16.08.25	Needham Market - Worcester City	1:0

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