Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Neftochimic Burgas		Sportist Svoge

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.33
	7.4	4.2	1.36
	7.93	5.01	1.33
	8.5	4.85	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.58 ↑ (5.7)	4.57 ↑ (3.64)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftochimic Burgas
12%

Draw
19.9%

Sportist Svoge
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

25.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

20.7%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftochimic Burgas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportist Svoge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftochimic Burgas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Neftochimic Burgas - Sportist Svoge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Neftochimic Burgas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sportist Svoge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sportist Svoge have a series of home games.

In this match Sportist Svoge is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Neftochimic Burgas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Neftochimic Burgas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftochimic Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.10.21	Botev Plovdiv II - Neftochimic Burgas	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Neftochimic Burgas - Sozopol	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Neftochimic Burgas	4:0 ✺
26.09.21	Neftochimic Burgas - Minyor Pernik	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Yantra Gabrovo - Neftochimic Burgas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.10.21	Sportist Svoge - Montana	1:3 ✺
16.10.21	Sportist Svoge - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Botev Plovdiv II - Sportist Svoge	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Sportist Svoge - Sozopol	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
22.09.21	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.05.21	Sportist Svoge - Neftochimic Burgas	1:1
11.12.20	Neftochimic Burgas - Sportist Svoge	2:4

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