Match Info

Bulgarian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov (Svoge)


	Sportist Svoge		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	4.25	1.39
	23.10	11.00	1.06	Watch
	6.94	4.4	1.41	Watch
	9.5	5.33	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.51 ↑ (5.71)	6.25 ↑ (3.56)	1.28 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
8.5%

Draw
15.6%

Septemvri Sofia
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

25.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

25%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportist Svoge's form might have worsened.

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportist Svoge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 1.

Svoge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Septemvri Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Septemvri Sofia is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Svoge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	CSKA Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	6:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.10.25	Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.02.24	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:2
13.08.23	Septemvri Sofia - Sportist Svoge	2:1
Club Friendly
20.01.23	Septemvri Sofia - Sportist Svoge	2:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
09.05.22	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	1:1
07.11.21	Septemvri Sofia - Sportist Svoge	0:3
Bulgarian Cup
22.09.21	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.05.21	Septemvri Sofia - Sportist Svoge	3:0

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