Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Neftyanik Izberbash		Chayka 2

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.15	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.15 ↑ (3.98)	5.17 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Izberbash
60.5%

Draw
21.9%

Chayka 2
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

17.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Izberbash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Chayka 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftyanik Izberbash that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neftyanik Izberbash - Chayka 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Magomedov S. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Vasilenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, Kuzmin I. ⚽,
87', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Neftyanik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chayka 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Neftyanik is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Izberbash	25	7	2	16	21:62	-41	23
14	FK Chayka 2	25	5	2	18	23:57	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Kyzyltash - Neftyanik Izberbash	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Rostov 2	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 LWWLL
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Chayka 2 - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Druzhba Maykop - Chayka 2	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Chayka 2 - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Chayka 2	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	Chayka 2 - Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Neftyanik Izberbash - Chayka 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide