Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zarya		Neftyanik Izberbash

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.08	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
41.7%

Draw
29.5%

Neftyanik Izberbash
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Neftyanik Izberbash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Zakharov M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Tsindrik S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, Zakharov M. ⚽,
76', Isaev M. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

Recent form of Zarya has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Neftyanik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zarya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lugansk	27	8	6	13	36:38	-2	30
11	Izberbash	27	8	3	16	25:64	-39	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Zarya	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Zarya - Rostov 2	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Zarya - Chayka 2	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Zarya	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zarya - Kyzyltash	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLT
- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Neftyanik Izberbash	7:0 ✺
16.05.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Astrakhan - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Nalchik - Neftyanik Izberbash	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW

Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash