Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nejmeh		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.92	3.39	1.91
	3.92	3.39	1.85
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.76	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.55	3.4	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.49)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)	1.88 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nejmeh
24.5%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Zawraa
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nejmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nejmeh's form might have worsened.

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Zawraa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nejmeh than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nejmeh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Zawraa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Nejmeh - Al Zawraa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nejmeh will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al-Zawraa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Sabaa A. (G) 2. Ismail A. 10. Al Zain M. 16. Safwan M. H. 5. Khairdien A. 19. Hamam A. (C) 9. Mhana H. 20. Kourani H. 26. Bilonog D. 24. Sabra M. 77. Awada S.	12. Hachim J. (C) 10. Sayyid H. 23. Muhsen A. 25. Ali M. 5. Jabbar M. 26. Mahmood Shaheen A. S. 13. John C. 27. Mohammad S. 44. Nadhim M. 37. Opare C. 34. Maan M.
Substitutes
17. Al Hajjar K. 7. Bader K. 22. Bechara M. 21. Costa G. 18. El Zein K. 90. Embalo J. 8. Khoury L. 11. Markabawi M. 13. Moghrabi A. 3. Murtada H. 6. Najdi B. 25. Zahr M. (G)	21. Abdulkareem H. 22. Akbar A. 3. Arnaout M. F. 9. Chihi I. 15. Houbeib E. H. 24. Ismail A. F. (G) 20. Kadhim A. 11. Maraksi R. 7. Murad M. 18. Ndoutoumo R. 31. Sami M. (G)

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nejmeh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nejmeh have a series of guest games.

Al-Zawraa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nejmeh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nejmeh SC
Lebanese Premier League
29.10.23	Tripoli - Nejmeh	1:2 ✺
AFC Cup
23.10.23	Al-Zawraa - Nejmeh	4:1 ✺
02.10.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
28.09.23	Racing Beirut - Nejmeh	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Nejmeh	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTTW
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
02.11.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Qasim	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
26.10.23	Al-Zawraa - Newroz	0:2 ✺
AFC Cup
23.10.23	Al-Zawraa - Nejmeh	4:1 ✺
02.10.23	Al-Riffa - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
23.10.23	Al-Zawraa - Nejmeh	4:1

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