Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Gyirmóti Stadion (Győr)

Referee: Argyrou A. (Cyp)


	Neman Grodno		CFR Cluj

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.2	1.82
	4.3	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.92
	4.47	3.36	1.84	Watch
	4.3	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (4.45)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
21.6%

Draw
28.2%

CFR Cluj
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

31%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

CFR Cluj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CFR Cluj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	16.3%	76.7%

Neman Grodno - CFR Cluj Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Neman will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). Cluj will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cluj: 63.3% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belov M. (G) 4. Vasilyev A. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 5. Parkhomenko E. 8. Pantya Y. 15. Evdokimov O. 47. Kozlov M. 33. Karpovich S. 17. Zubovich E. 10. Alykulov G. 88. Savitskiy P.	90. Sava R. (G) 19. Mogos V. 42. Boben M. 27. Ilie M. 45. Camora M. (C) 73. Muhar K. 26. Artean A. 77. Tachtsidis P. 10. Deac C. 9. Birligea D. 17. Korenica M.
Substitutes
14. Anyukevich A. 9. Costrov I. 13. Dziarzhynski A. 7. Gweth L. 90. Kosmynin V. 18. Kravtsov M. 11. Kukharchik I. 55. Lavrik A. 46. Legchilin A. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 24. Yakimov A.	3. Abeid A. 82. Fica A. 1. Gal R. (G) 89. Hindrich O. (G) 7. Kamara M. 18. Keita K. 44. Kresic A. 86. Kun V. 99. Michael P. 96. Nkololo B. 11. Paun A. 2. Thaqi A.
Coaches
Kovalevich I.	Petrescu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Sadovnichiy I. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Muhar K. ⚽, Deac C. (A),
24', Vasilyev A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Birligea D. ⚽,
45+2', Ilie M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Vasilyev A. ↓, Kukharchik I. ↑,
46', Kozlov M. 🟨,
57', 0 - 3, Birligea D. ⚽,
58', Savitskiy P. ↓, Gweth L. ↑,
58', Sadovnichiy I. ↓, Lavrik A. ↑,
59', 0 - 4, Korenica M. ⚽,
63', Deac C. ↓, Nkololo B. ↑,
64', Muhar K. ↓, Keita K. ↑,
69', Boben M. 🟨,
71', Tachtsidis P. ↓, Paun A. ↑,
71', Mogos V. ↓, Thaqi A. ↑,
74', Nkololo B. 🟨,
83', Zubovich E. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
86', Birligea D. ↓, Michael P. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 5, Nkololo B. ⚽, Michael P. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gyirmóti Stadion. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Neman is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches CFR Cluj is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Neman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CFR Cluj is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neman won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neman Grodno
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	CFR Cluj - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
07.07.24	Minsk - Neman Grodno	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Dinamo Minsk - Neman Grodno	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Neman Grodno - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWLW
- CFR Cluj
Romanian SuperLiga
28.07.24	CFR Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	CFR Cluj - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
20.07.24	Rapid Bucureşti - CFR Cluj	2:2 ✺
14.07.24	CFR Cluj - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.24	LASK Linz - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	CFR Cluj - Neman Grodno	0:0

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